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icon for 高雄市市長選舉優勝者
政治·臺灣

高雄市市長選舉優勝者

icon for 高雄市市長選舉優勝者
政治·臺灣

高雄市市長選舉優勝者

賴瑞隆 49%

柯志恩 30%

許智傑 12%

張清 9%

Polymarket
最新

賴瑞隆 49%

柯志恩 30%

許智傑 12%

張清 9%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 賴瑞隆

賴瑞隆

$101 交易量

55%

icon for 柯志恩

柯志恩

$41 交易量

16%

icon for 許智傑

許智傑

$41 交易量

12%

icon for 張清

張清

$52 交易量

9%

icon for 邱議瑩

邱議瑩

$41 交易量

8%

icon for 林岱樺

林岱樺

$53 交易量

6%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Kaohsiung's 2026 mayoral race, set for November 28, remains tightly contested between Democratic Progressive Party nominee Lai Jui-lung and Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en, as reflected in current trader pricing. Lai secured the DPP nomination after a January primary victory over rivals including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Ko received the KMT nod in December 2025 following his competitive 2022 showing. Multiple 2026 surveys have shown Lai holding a narrow edge across demographics, though support levels stay close enough to sustain uncertainty. Key variables include local economic concerns in the port city, party mobilization, turnout patterns, and any late campaign developments that could shift the balance before election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$329
結束日期
2026-11-28
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Kaohsiung's 2026 mayoral race, set for November 28, remains tightly contested between Democratic Progressive Party nominee Lai Jui-lung and Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en, as reflected in current trader pricing. Lai secured the DPP nomination after a January primary victory over rivals including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Ko received the KMT nod in December 2025 following his competitive 2022 showing. Multiple 2026 surveys have shown Lai holding a narrow edge across demographics, though support levels stay close enough to sustain uncertainty. Key variables include local economic concerns in the port city, party mobilization, turnout patterns, and any late campaign developments that could shift the balance before election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$329
結束日期
2026-11-28
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"高雄市市長選舉優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "賴瑞隆" at 55%, followed by "柯志恩" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"高雄市市長選舉優勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "高雄市市長選舉優勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "高雄市市長選舉優勝者" is "賴瑞隆" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "柯志恩" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "高雄市市長選舉優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.