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icon for 嘉義縣治安法官選舉優勝者
政治·臺灣

嘉義縣治安法官選舉優勝者

icon for 嘉義縣治安法官選舉優勝者
政治·臺灣

嘉義縣治安法官選舉優勝者

蔡易餘 87%

吳斌瑞 9%

蔡松毅 5.9%

Polymarket
最新

蔡易餘 87%

吳斌瑞 9%

蔡松毅 5.9%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 蔡易餘

蔡易餘

$518 交易量

87%

icon for 吳斌瑞

吳斌瑞

$251 交易量

9%

icon for 蔡松毅

蔡松毅

$79 交易量

6%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu holds the leading position in the Chiayi County magistrate race due to securing the Democratic Progressive Party nomination after a decisive January 2026 primary victory over other contenders. This established him as the main party-backed candidate ahead of the November 28 local elections. Opposition efforts to consolidate support behind figures such as Puzi Mayor Wu Pin-jui gained some momentum by July 2026, yet have not narrowed the gap in trader assessments. Other listed candidates, including Tsai Sung-yi, reflect lower visibility or limited party infrastructure in the county. The market's implied probabilities align with the standard advantages of early major-party nomination and local electoral history in this jurisdiction.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$848
結束日期
2026-11-28
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu holds the leading position in the Chiayi County magistrate race due to securing the Democratic Progressive Party nomination after a decisive January 2026 primary victory over other contenders. This established him as the main party-backed candidate ahead of the November 28 local elections. Opposition efforts to consolidate support behind figures such as Puzi Mayor Wu Pin-jui gained some momentum by July 2026, yet have not narrowed the gap in trader assessments. Other listed candidates, including Tsai Sung-yi, reflect lower visibility or limited party infrastructure in the county. The market's implied probabilities align with the standard advantages of early major-party nomination and local electoral history in this jurisdiction.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$848
結束日期
2026-11-28
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"嘉義縣治安法官選舉優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蔡易餘" at 87%, followed by "吳斌瑞" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"嘉義縣治安法官選舉優勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "嘉義縣治安法官選舉優勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "嘉義縣治安法官選舉優勝者" is "蔡易餘" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "吳斌瑞" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "嘉義縣治安法官選舉優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.