Civil Contract secured a parliamentary majority in Armenia’s June 7 election with approximately 49.8 percent of the vote, translating into 64 seats and a clear edge over Strong Armenia (23 percent) and Armenia Alliance (10 percent). Traders assign near-certainty to its win because preliminary and partial counts from the Central Election Commission confirmed the result shortly after polls closed, reflecting the incumbent party’s organizational strength and voter response to its pro-Western orientation and peace negotiations with Azerbaijan. Opposition efforts to frame the contest around Russian ties and domestic discontent did not overcome this margin. Remaining uncertainty centers on final vote certification, minor threshold disputes for smaller parties, or potential post-election legal challenges, any of which could theoretically alter seat allocation but face high procedural barriers given the documented lead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於公民契約黨 100.0%
亞美尼亞國民大會 <1%
繁榮亞美尼亞 <1%
強大亞美尼亞 <1%
$1,217,131 交易量
$1,217,131 交易量

公民契約黨
是

亞美尼亞國民大會
否

繁榮亞美尼亞
否

強大亞美尼亞
否

亞美尼亞聯盟
否

光明亞美尼亞
否

我有榮譽聯盟
否

Hanrapetutyun黨
否

民族遺產黨
否

奧瑞納茨·葉爾基爾
否
公民契約黨 100.0%
亞美尼亞國民大會 <1%
繁榮亞美尼亞 <1%
強大亞美尼亞 <1%
$1,217,131 交易量
$1,217,131 交易量

公民契約黨
是

亞美尼亞國民大會
否

繁榮亞美尼亞
否

強大亞美尼亞
否

亞美尼亞聯盟
否

光明亞美尼亞
否

我有榮譽聯盟
否

Hanrapetutyun黨
否

民族遺產黨
否

奧瑞納茨·葉爾基爾
否
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
市場開放時間: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
已提議結果: 是
有爭議
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
已提議結果: 是
有爭議
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Civil Contract secured a parliamentary majority in Armenia’s June 7 election with approximately 49.8 percent of the vote, translating into 64 seats and a clear edge over Strong Armenia (23 percent) and Armenia Alliance (10 percent). Traders assign near-certainty to its win because preliminary and partial counts from the Central Election Commission confirmed the result shortly after polls closed, reflecting the incumbent party’s organizational strength and voter response to its pro-Western orientation and peace negotiations with Azerbaijan. Opposition efforts to frame the contest around Russian ties and domestic discontent did not overcome this margin. Remaining uncertainty centers on final vote certification, minor threshold disputes for smaller parties, or potential post-election legal challenges, any of which could theoretically alter seat allocation but face high procedural barriers given the documented lead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions