Montana’s 1st Congressional District features an open seat previously held by Republican Ryan Zinke, creating a contest between Republican nominee Aaron Flint and Democrat Sam Forstag that most forecasters rate Likely Republican yet remains closely priced in prediction markets. Flint secured the GOP nomination with former President Trump’s endorsement after prevailing in the June primary, while Forstag advanced from a competitive Democratic field and later received DCCC Red to Blue support. Limited polling, including a June survey showing a statistical tie, reflects the district’s modest Republican lean offset by Democratic strength in western counties and competitive fundraising totals near $1.3–1.4 million for each major candidate. National midterm dynamics, candidate profiles, and turnout patterns in key areas could still narrow or widen the gap before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
49%
Democratic Party
47%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,962 KL.
49%
Democratic Party
$3,116 KL.
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 1st Congressional District features an open seat previously held by Republican Ryan Zinke, creating a contest between Republican nominee Aaron Flint and Democrat Sam Forstag that most forecasters rate Likely Republican yet remains closely priced in prediction markets. Flint secured the GOP nomination with former President Trump’s endorsement after prevailing in the June primary, while Forstag advanced from a competitive Democratic field and later received DCCC Red to Blue support. Limited polling, including a June survey showing a statistical tie, reflects the district’s modest Republican lean offset by Democratic strength in western counties and competitive fundraising totals near $1.3–1.4 million for each major candidate. National midterm dynamics, candidate profiles, and turnout patterns in key areas could still narrow or widen the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,078Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 1st Congressional District features an open seat previously held by Republican Ryan Zinke, creating a contest between Republican nominee Aaron Flint and Democrat Sam Forstag that most forecasters rate Likely Republican yet remains closely priced in prediction markets. Flint secured the GOP nomination with former President Trump’s endorsement after prevailing in the June primary, while Forstag advanced from a competitive Democratic field and later received DCCC Red to Blue support. Limited polling, including a June survey showing a statistical tie, reflects the district’s modest Republican lean offset by Democratic strength in western counties and competitive fundraising totals near $1.3–1.4 million for each major candidate. National midterm dynamics, candidate profiles, and turnout patterns in key areas could still narrow or widen the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$8,078Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Montana’s 1st Congressional District features an open seat previously held by Republican Ryan Zinke, creating a contest between Republican nominee Aaron Flint and Democrat Sam Forstag that most forecasters rate Likely Republican yet remains closely priced in prediction markets. Flint secured the GOP nomination with former President Trump’s endorsement after prevailing in the June primary, while Forstag advanced from a competitive Democratic field and later received DCCC Red to Blue support. Limited polling, including a June survey showing a statistical tie, reflects the district’s modest Republican lean offset by Democratic strength in western counties and competitive fundraising totals near $1.3–1.4 million for each major candidate. National midterm dynamics, candidate profiles, and turnout patterns in key areas could still narrow or widen the gap before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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