Russia's September 2026 State Duma and concurrent regional legislative and gubernatorial elections feature United Russia as the dominant party with extensive administrative resources and limited effective opposition. Kremlin directives emphasize securing majorities and turnout targets around 50 percent, building on the party's clean sweep of nearly all governorships and strong legislative majorities in 2025 regional votes. Structural factors including candidate registration barriers, electronic voting systems, and historical patterns of United Russia victories across all regions support trader consensus around a 62 percent implied probability for the "Yes" outcome. Economic pressures and war-related sentiment introduce some uncertainty, yet no verified developments indicate a realistic path for another party to prevail in any region.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật62% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
62% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's September 2026 State Duma and concurrent regional legislative and gubernatorial elections feature United Russia as the dominant party with extensive administrative resources and limited effective opposition. Kremlin directives emphasize securing majorities and turnout targets around 50 percent, building on the party's clean sweep of nearly all governorships and strong legislative majorities in 2025 regional votes. Structural factors including candidate registration barriers, electronic voting systems, and historical patterns of United Russia victories across all regions support trader consensus around a 62 percent implied probability for the "Yes" outcome. Economic pressures and war-related sentiment introduce some uncertainty, yet no verified developments indicate a realistic path for another party to prevail in any region.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,917Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's September 2026 State Duma and concurrent regional legislative and gubernatorial elections feature United Russia as the dominant party with extensive administrative resources and limited effective opposition. Kremlin directives emphasize securing majorities and turnout targets around 50 percent, building on the party's clean sweep of nearly all governorships and strong legislative majorities in 2025 regional votes. Structural factors including candidate registration barriers, electronic voting systems, and historical patterns of United Russia victories across all regions support trader consensus around a 62 percent implied probability for the "Yes" outcome. Economic pressures and war-related sentiment introduce some uncertainty, yet no verified developments indicate a realistic path for another party to prevail in any region.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Khối lượng
$2,917Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's September 2026 State Duma and concurrent regional legislative and gubernatorial elections feature United Russia as the dominant party with extensive administrative resources and limited effective opposition. Kremlin directives emphasize securing majorities and turnout targets around 50 percent, building on the party's clean sweep of nearly all governorships and strong legislative majorities in 2025 regional votes. Structural factors including candidate registration barriers, electronic voting systems, and historical patterns of United Russia victories across all regions support trader consensus around a 62 percent implied probability for the "Yes" outcome. Economic pressures and war-related sentiment introduce some uncertainty, yet no verified developments indicate a realistic path for another party to prevail in any region.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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