United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to the party's entrenched control of Russia's electoral system, extensive administrative resources, and the exclusion or marginalization of credible challengers ahead of the September vote. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries, candidate vetting, and multi-day voting procedures with electronic options in key regions, reinforce expectations of a supermajority outcome consistent with prior cycles. Recent court actions barring parties such as Yabloko further limit opposition viability. While independent polling indicates softer underlying support amid economic pressures and the Ukraine conflict, trader consensus prices in the structural barriers that have historically secured the ruling party's dominance. Scenarios that could alter this include major leadership disruptions or unforeseen domestic mobilization, though such shifts remain improbable given institutional constraints.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 98.5%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) <1%
Những Người Mới (NL) <1%
Yabloko <1%
$3,207,267 KL.
$3,207,267 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)
99%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)
1%
Những Người Mới (NL)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)
<1%
Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Nền tảng Công dân (GP)
<1%
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 98.5%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) <1%
Những Người Mới (NL) <1%
Yabloko <1%
$3,207,267 KL.
$3,207,267 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)
$812,143 KL.
99%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)
$165,183 KL.
1%
Những Người Mới (NL)
$140,223 KL.
<1%
Yabloko
$38,774 KL.
<1%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)
$207,904 KL.
<1%
Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)
$736,927 KL.
<1%
Rodina
$502,708 KL.
<1%
Nền tảng Công dân (GP)
$603,407 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to the party's entrenched control of Russia's electoral system, extensive administrative resources, and the exclusion or marginalization of credible challengers ahead of the September vote. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries, candidate vetting, and multi-day voting procedures with electronic options in key regions, reinforce expectations of a supermajority outcome consistent with prior cycles. Recent court actions barring parties such as Yabloko further limit opposition viability. While independent polling indicates softer underlying support amid economic pressures and the Ukraine conflict, trader consensus prices in the structural barriers that have historically secured the ruling party's dominance. Scenarios that could alter this include major leadership disruptions or unforeseen domestic mobilization, though such shifts remain improbable given institutional constraints.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Thị trường mở: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,207,267Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to the party's entrenched control of Russia's electoral system, extensive administrative resources, and the exclusion or marginalization of credible challengers ahead of the September vote. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries, candidate vetting, and multi-day voting procedures with electronic options in key regions, reinforce expectations of a supermajority outcome consistent with prior cycles. Recent court actions barring parties such as Yabloko further limit opposition viability. While independent polling indicates softer underlying support amid economic pressures and the Ukraine conflict, trader consensus prices in the structural barriers that have historically secured the ruling party's dominance. Scenarios that could alter this include major leadership disruptions or unforeseen domestic mobilization, though such shifts remain improbable given institutional constraints.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Khối lượng
$3,207,267Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to the party's entrenched control of Russia's electoral system, extensive administrative resources, and the exclusion or marginalization of credible challengers ahead of the September vote. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries, candidate vetting, and multi-day voting procedures with electronic options in key regions, reinforce expectations of a supermajority outcome consistent with prior cycles. Recent court actions barring parties such as Yabloko further limit opposition viability. While independent polling indicates softer underlying support amid economic pressures and the Ukraine conflict, trader consensus prices in the structural barriers that have historically secured the ruling party's dominance. Scenarios that could alter this include major leadership disruptions or unforeseen domestic mobilization, though such shifts remain improbable given institutional constraints.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
82%
Liệu Đảng Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) có giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử quốc hội Nga sắp tới không?
73%
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