**High voter engagement in Iceland’s August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks has driven expectations for elevated turnout.** Record advance voting reached roughly 23% of the 273,000-person electorate, with election-day figures in Reykjavík already exceeding 2024 parliamentary election levels and rural districts showing participation above 80%. The contest’s narrow margin—centered on fisheries sovereignty versus economic stability and euro adoption—prompted intensive mobilization by both sides. Preliminary data point to overall turnout at or above the prior 80% benchmark, keeping trader probabilities tightly balanced between the 75–80% and 80–85% ranges. Late-counting constituencies and final verified totals will determine whether participation settles in the upper or lower half of that band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật70–75% 39%
65–70% 25.9%
<45% 22.4%
60–65% 21.6%
$1,427 KL.
$1,427 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
<45%
22%
45–50%
15%
50–55%
20%
55–60%
19%
60–65%
22%
65–70%
26%
70–75%
39%
75–80%
-
80–85%
-
85%+
2%
70–75% 39%
65–70% 25.9%
<45% 22.4%
60–65% 21.6%
$1,427 KL.
$1,427 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
<45%
$99 KL.
22%
45–50%
$60 KL.
15%
50–55%
$78 KL.
20%
55–60%
$18 KL.
19%
60–65%
$18 KL.
22%
65–70%
$9 KL.
26%
70–75%
$15 KL.
39%
75–80%
$78 KL.
-
80–85%
$255 KL.
-
85%+
$799 KL.
2%
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**High voter engagement in Iceland’s August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks has driven expectations for elevated turnout.** Record advance voting reached roughly 23% of the 273,000-person electorate, with election-day figures in Reykjavík already exceeding 2024 parliamentary election levels and rural districts showing participation above 80%. The contest’s narrow margin—centered on fisheries sovereignty versus economic stability and euro adoption—prompted intensive mobilization by both sides. Preliminary data point to overall turnout at or above the prior 80% benchmark, keeping trader probabilities tightly balanced between the 75–80% and 80–85% ranges. Late-counting constituencies and final verified totals will determine whether participation settles in the upper or lower half of that band.
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,427Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**High voter engagement in Iceland’s August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks has driven expectations for elevated turnout.** Record advance voting reached roughly 23% of the 273,000-person electorate, with election-day figures in Reykjavík already exceeding 2024 parliamentary election levels and rural districts showing participation above 80%. The contest’s narrow margin—centered on fisheries sovereignty versus economic stability and euro adoption—prompted intensive mobilization by both sides. Preliminary data point to overall turnout at or above the prior 80% benchmark, keeping trader probabilities tightly balanced between the 75–80% and 80–85% ranges. Late-counting constituencies and final verified totals will determine whether participation settles in the upper or lower half of that band.
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Khối lượng
$1,427Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**High voter engagement in Iceland’s August 29 referendum on resuming EU accession talks has driven expectations for elevated turnout.** Record advance voting reached roughly 23% of the 273,000-person electorate, with election-day figures in Reykjavík already exceeding 2024 parliamentary election levels and rural districts showing participation above 80%. The contest’s narrow margin—centered on fisheries sovereignty versus economic stability and euro adoption—prompted intensive mobilization by both sides. Preliminary data point to overall turnout at or above the prior 80% benchmark, keeping trader probabilities tightly balanced between the 75–80% and 80–85% ranges. Late-counting constituencies and final verified totals will determine whether participation settles in the upper or lower half of that band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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