Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow edge in popular support around 28-30 percent, translating into seat projections averaging near 48 with wide ranges of roughly 29-69 under the new 127-seat map, though a majority remains improbable. A late-August Synopsis survey indicated the CAQ closing to statistical parity at 27 percent amid rising concerns over U.S. trade tensions, drawing support from Liberal voters and tightening competition in francophone ridings where the PQ holds efficiency advantages. Voter fluidity across five viable parties, combined with the campaign's early stage and regional concentration patterns, sustains broad uncertainty in seat outcomes. Further polling trends, economic messaging on trade stability, and turnout differentials could shift the distribution before October 5.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật<50 26%
50-54 19%
55-59 13%
70-74 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
<50
21%
50-54
19%
55-59
13%
60-64
8%
65-69
9%
70-74
11%
75-79
3%
80+
4%
<50 26%
50-54 19%
55-59 13%
70-74 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
<50
$1,083 KL.
21%
50-54
$926 KL.
19%
55-59
$423 KL.
13%
60-64
$775 KL.
8%
65-69
$2,544 KL.
9%
70-74
$1,706 KL.
11%
75-79
$956 KL.
3%
80+
$839 KL.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow edge in popular support around 28-30 percent, translating into seat projections averaging near 48 with wide ranges of roughly 29-69 under the new 127-seat map, though a majority remains improbable. A late-August Synopsis survey indicated the CAQ closing to statistical parity at 27 percent amid rising concerns over U.S. trade tensions, drawing support from Liberal voters and tightening competition in francophone ridings where the PQ holds efficiency advantages. Voter fluidity across five viable parties, combined with the campaign's early stage and regional concentration patterns, sustains broad uncertainty in seat outcomes. Further polling trends, economic messaging on trade stability, and turnout differentials could shift the distribution before October 5.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,252Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow edge in popular support around 28-30 percent, translating into seat projections averaging near 48 with wide ranges of roughly 29-69 under the new 127-seat map, though a majority remains improbable. A late-August Synopsis survey indicated the CAQ closing to statistical parity at 27 percent amid rising concerns over U.S. trade tensions, drawing support from Liberal voters and tightening competition in francophone ridings where the PQ holds efficiency advantages. Voter fluidity across five viable parties, combined with the campaign's early stage and regional concentration patterns, sustains broad uncertainty in seat outcomes. Further polling trends, economic messaging on trade stability, and turnout differentials could shift the distribution before October 5.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$9,252Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow edge in popular support around 28-30 percent, translating into seat projections averaging near 48 with wide ranges of roughly 29-69 under the new 127-seat map, though a majority remains improbable. A late-August Synopsis survey indicated the CAQ closing to statistical parity at 27 percent amid rising concerns over U.S. trade tensions, drawing support from Liberal voters and tightening competition in francophone ridings where the PQ holds efficiency advantages. Voter fluidity across five viable parties, combined with the campaign's early stage and regional concentration patterns, sustains broad uncertainty in seat outcomes. Further polling trends, economic messaging on trade stability, and turnout differentials could shift the distribution before October 5.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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