Republican nominee Ann Wagner, the seven-term incumbent, faces Democrat Fred Wellman in the November 3 general election for Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District. The seat carries an R+6 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House voting, including Trump’s 8-point edge and Wagner’s 12-point margin in 2024. Wagner secured her party’s nomination on August 4 with nearly 74 percent of the primary vote against multiple challengers, while Wellman emerged as the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s suburban and exurban composition plus the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. A May 2026 poll showed a narrow head-to-head race that tightened or flipped after candidate information, yet the underlying partisan baseline and lack of subsequent shifts sustaining Democratic momentum keep the Republican win probability at the current trader-implied level.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-02 House Election Winner
MO-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
24%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,636 KL.
77%
Democratic Party
$3,833 KL.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Ann Wagner, the seven-term incumbent, faces Democrat Fred Wellman in the November 3 general election for Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District. The seat carries an R+6 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House voting, including Trump’s 8-point edge and Wagner’s 12-point margin in 2024. Wagner secured her party’s nomination on August 4 with nearly 74 percent of the primary vote against multiple challengers, while Wellman emerged as the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s suburban and exurban composition plus the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. A May 2026 poll showed a narrow head-to-head race that tightened or flipped after candidate information, yet the underlying partisan baseline and lack of subsequent shifts sustaining Democratic momentum keep the Republican win probability at the current trader-implied level.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,469Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Ann Wagner, the seven-term incumbent, faces Democrat Fred Wellman in the November 3 general election for Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District. The seat carries an R+6 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House voting, including Trump’s 8-point edge and Wagner’s 12-point margin in 2024. Wagner secured her party’s nomination on August 4 with nearly 74 percent of the primary vote against multiple challengers, while Wellman emerged as the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s suburban and exurban composition plus the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. A May 2026 poll showed a narrow head-to-head race that tightened or flipped after candidate information, yet the underlying partisan baseline and lack of subsequent shifts sustaining Democratic momentum keep the Republican win probability at the current trader-implied level.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$8,469Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Ann Wagner, the seven-term incumbent, faces Democrat Fred Wellman in the November 3 general election for Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District. The seat carries an R+6 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House voting, including Trump’s 8-point edge and Wagner’s 12-point margin in 2024. Wagner secured her party’s nomination on August 4 with nearly 74 percent of the primary vote against multiple challengers, while Wellman emerged as the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s suburban and exurban composition plus the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. A May 2026 poll showed a narrow head-to-head race that tightened or flipped after candidate information, yet the underlying partisan baseline and lack of subsequent shifts sustaining Democratic momentum keep the Republican win probability at the current trader-implied level.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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