Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Wuhan’s overnight low on September 2 will likely fall in the low- to mid-20s °C, with northerly flow, elevated humidity, and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. A lingering weather pattern influenced by peripheral effects of typhoon-related troughs has introduced scattered showers and breezy conditions that moderate temperature drops compared with typical clear-night scenarios. Model consensus clusters tightly around 22–23 °C because small differences in cloud timing or wind gusts can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C; stronger mixing or lingering moisture keeps readings near 23 °C, while clearer breaks allow brief dips toward 21 °C. Traders therefore price the 21–23 °C outcomes nearly equally, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty rather than divergent signals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 2?
21°C 47%
23°C 47%
22°C 46%
24°C 45%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
7%
19°C
6%
20°C
7%
21°C
47%
22°C
46%
23°C
47%
24°C
45%
25°C
44%
26°C
37%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 47%
23°C 47%
22°C 46%
24°C 45%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
7%
19°C
6%
20°C
7%
21°C
47%
22°C
46%
23°C
47%
24°C
45%
25°C
44%
26°C
37%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Wuhan’s overnight low on September 2 will likely fall in the low- to mid-20s °C, with northerly flow, elevated humidity, and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. A lingering weather pattern influenced by peripheral effects of typhoon-related troughs has introduced scattered showers and breezy conditions that moderate temperature drops compared with typical clear-night scenarios. Model consensus clusters tightly around 22–23 °C because small differences in cloud timing or wind gusts can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C; stronger mixing or lingering moisture keeps readings near 23 °C, while clearer breaks allow brief dips toward 21 °C. Traders therefore price the 21–23 °C outcomes nearly equally, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty rather than divergent signals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp