**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional analyses indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on August 31, 2026, with morning showers transitioning to partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds of 10–20 km/h.** This setup limits peak heating compared to Sunday’s 26–27°C under clearer conditions, aligning with the late-August climatological average high of 22.4°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 25°C and 21% for 24°C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover, shower timing, or wind strength can add or subtract 1–2°C. Historical records show August 31 highs ranging from 11.5°C to 32.6°C, but recent model runs and observed cooling trends after a warmer period support the market’s emphasis on the 24–25°C band over higher or lower outcomes. New observational data or updated model runs from agencies like DWD or ECMWF over the next 12–24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on August 31?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 31?
25°C 63%
24°C 21%
26°C 13%
23°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
21%
25°C
63%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 63%
24°C 21%
26°C 13%
23°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
$1,461 KL.
<1%
19°C
$481 KL.
<1%
20°C
$98 KL.
<1%
21°C
$98 KL.
1%
22°C
$50 KL.
<1%
23°C
$155 KL.
3%
24°C
$179 KL.
21%
25°C
$1,488 KL.
63%
26°C
$442 KL.
13%
27°C
$571 KL.
2%
28°C or higher
$569 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional analyses indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on August 31, 2026, with morning showers transitioning to partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds of 10–20 km/h.** This setup limits peak heating compared to Sunday’s 26–27°C under clearer conditions, aligning with the late-August climatological average high of 22.4°C.
Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 25°C and 21% for 24°C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover, shower timing, or wind strength can add or subtract 1–2°C. Historical records show August 31 highs ranging from 11.5°C to 32.6°C, but recent model runs and observed cooling trends after a warmer period support the market’s emphasis on the 24–25°C band over higher or lower outcomes.
New observational data or updated model runs from agencies like DWD or ECMWF over the next 12–24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,593Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional analyses indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on August 31, 2026, with morning showers transitioning to partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds of 10–20 km/h.** This setup limits peak heating compared to Sunday’s 26–27°C under clearer conditions, aligning with the late-August climatological average high of 22.4°C.
Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 25°C and 21% for 24°C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover, shower timing, or wind strength can add or subtract 1–2°C. Historical records show August 31 highs ranging from 11.5°C to 32.6°C, but recent model runs and observed cooling trends after a warmer period support the market’s emphasis on the 24–25°C band over higher or lower outcomes.
New observational data or updated model runs from agencies like DWD or ECMWF over the next 12–24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,593Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional analyses indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on August 31, 2026, with morning showers transitioning to partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds of 10–20 km/h.** This setup limits peak heating compared to Sunday’s 26–27°C under clearer conditions, aligning with the late-August climatological average high of 22.4°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 25°C and 21% for 24°C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover, shower timing, or wind strength can add or subtract 1–2°C. Historical records show August 31 highs ranging from 11.5°C to 32.6°C, but recent model runs and observed cooling trends after a warmer period support the market’s emphasis on the 24–25°C band over higher or lower outcomes. New observational data or updated model runs from agencies like DWD or ECMWF over the next 12–24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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