Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Helsinki on August 31 near 17–19°C under persistent cloud cover, southerly flow, and scattered showers associated with a low-pressure trough. These conditions limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rain, suppressing the daily maximum below late-August climatological averages near 18°C. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing brief afternoon warming potential before fronts arrive, while lower probabilities for 20°C+ or sub-18°C align with model consensus ranges and low spread in recent runs. Updated observations and next model cycles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the day's close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 31?
19°C 53%
20°C 24%
18°C 19%
17°C 3%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
19%
19°C
53%
20°C
24%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 53%
20°C 24%
18°C 19%
17°C 3%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
19%
19°C
53%
20°C
24%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a peak daytime temperature in Helsinki on August 31 near 17–19°C under persistent cloud cover, southerly flow, and scattered showers associated with a low-pressure trough. These conditions limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rain, suppressing the daily maximum below late-August climatological averages near 18°C. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing brief afternoon warming potential before fronts arrive, while lower probabilities for 20°C+ or sub-18°C align with model consensus ranges and low spread in recent runs. Updated observations and next model cycles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the day's close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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