Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 25 point to partly cloudy skies with a minimum temperature near 25°C, aligning with seasonal norms of 24–25°C driven by persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in the urban environment. Trader consensus favoring 27°C as the leading outcome (45% implied probability) reflects model runs incorporating the urban heat island effect and recent warming trends that have elevated overnight lows above climatological baselines. Key variables include steering patterns and cloud cover that could alter cooling rates, with updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts due within the next 24 hours likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
27°C 45%
28°C 26%
26°C 24%
24°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
9%
26°C
24%
27°C
45%
28°C
26%
29°C
11%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 45%
28°C 26%
26°C 24%
24°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$5 KL.
<1%
22°C
$5 KL.
1%
23°C
$5 KL.
1%
24°C
$10 KL.
11%
25°C
$50 KL.
9%
26°C
$62 KL.
24%
27°C
$70 KL.
45%
28°C
$165 KL.
26%
29°C
$5 KL.
11%
30°C
$5 KL.
6%
31°C or higher
$5 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 25 point to partly cloudy skies with a minimum temperature near 25°C, aligning with seasonal norms of 24–25°C driven by persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in the urban environment. Trader consensus favoring 27°C as the leading outcome (45% implied probability) reflects model runs incorporating the urban heat island effect and recent warming trends that have elevated overnight lows above climatological baselines. Key variables include steering patterns and cloud cover that could alter cooling rates, with updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts due within the next 24 hours likely to refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$387Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 25 point to partly cloudy skies with a minimum temperature near 25°C, aligning with seasonal norms of 24–25°C driven by persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in the urban environment. Trader consensus favoring 27°C as the leading outcome (45% implied probability) reflects model runs incorporating the urban heat island effect and recent warming trends that have elevated overnight lows above climatological baselines. Key variables include steering patterns and cloud cover that could alter cooling rates, with updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts due within the next 24 hours likely to refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$387Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 25 point to partly cloudy skies with a minimum temperature near 25°C, aligning with seasonal norms of 24–25°C driven by persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in the urban environment. Trader consensus favoring 27°C as the leading outcome (45% implied probability) reflects model runs incorporating the urban heat island effect and recent warming trends that have elevated overnight lows above climatological baselines. Key variables include steering patterns and cloud cover that could alter cooling rates, with updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts due within the next 24 hours likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp