Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 23 will settle near 25°C, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that limit radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions. Recent observations show dew points around 23–24°C sustaining warmth through the night, consistent with climatological averages for the date when urban heat island effects and marine influence keep lows elevated. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 25°C reflects this model agreement, though a surprise clearing trend or stronger northerly flow could allow brief dips toward 24°C before sunrise.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 23?
25°C 98.5%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
$10,118 KL.
$10,118 KL.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98.5%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
$10,118 KL.
$10,118 KL.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 23 will settle near 25°C, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that limit radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions. Recent observations show dew points around 23–24°C sustaining warmth through the night, consistent with climatological averages for the date when urban heat island effects and marine influence keep lows elevated. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 25°C reflects this model agreement, though a surprise clearing trend or stronger northerly flow could allow brief dips toward 24°C before sunrise.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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