Recent official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple models indicate an overnight low of 25–26°C for August 30, with persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and humidity levels of 85–95% limiting radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the late-summer East Asian monsoon, have kept minimum temperatures elevated despite daytime highs near 29–31°C. Current observations show temperatures holding above 26°C through the evening, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C as the most probable daily minimum. A modest chance remains for 24°C if clearer breaks allow slightly more cooling before sunrise, while sub-23°C readings appear unlikely absent an unforecasted shift in steering flow or precipitation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
24°C 48%
23°C or below 5%
26°C <1%
29°C <1%
$2,361 KL.
$2,361 KL.
23°C or below
5%
24°C
48%
25°C
67%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C or below 5%
26°C <1%
29°C <1%
$2,361 KL.
$2,361 KL.
23°C or below
5%
24°C
48%
25°C
67%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple models indicate an overnight low of 25–26°C for August 30, with persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and humidity levels of 85–95% limiting radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the late-summer East Asian monsoon, have kept minimum temperatures elevated despite daytime highs near 29–31°C. Current observations show temperatures holding above 26°C through the evening, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C as the most probable daily minimum. A modest chance remains for 24°C if clearer breaks allow slightly more cooling before sunrise, while sub-23°C readings appear unlikely absent an unforecasted shift in steering flow or precipitation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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