Persistent rain and cloud cover driven by the East Asian monsoon are moderating maximum temperatures in Shenzhen, with official forecasts pointing to highs of 30–32°C on August 31 amid thunderstorms and high humidity near 80–95%. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring 30–31°C outcomes that together hold over 60% market-implied probability. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on rainfall intensity and timing, which could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C depending on when heavier showers arrive. Historical late-August averages near 32°C provide context, yet the current wet pattern supports trader consensus around the lower end of the typical range ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
31°C 37%
30°C 25%
29°C 19%
32°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
19%
30°C
25%
31°C
37%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 37%
30°C 25%
29°C 19%
32°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$568 KL.
<1%
25°C
$516 KL.
<1%
26°C
$516 KL.
<1%
27°C
$2,155 KL.
1%
28°C
$1,416 KL.
6%
29°C
$1,093 KL.
19%
30°C
$877 KL.
25%
31°C
$1,285 KL.
37%
32°C
$339 KL.
13%
33°C
$732 KL.
4%
34°C or higher
$273 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover driven by the East Asian monsoon are moderating maximum temperatures in Shenzhen, with official forecasts pointing to highs of 30–32°C on August 31 amid thunderstorms and high humidity near 80–95%. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring 30–31°C outcomes that together hold over 60% market-implied probability. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on rainfall intensity and timing, which could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C depending on when heavier showers arrive. Historical late-August averages near 32°C provide context, yet the current wet pattern supports trader consensus around the lower end of the typical range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,769Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover driven by the East Asian monsoon are moderating maximum temperatures in Shenzhen, with official forecasts pointing to highs of 30–32°C on August 31 amid thunderstorms and high humidity near 80–95%. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring 30–31°C outcomes that together hold over 60% market-implied probability. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on rainfall intensity and timing, which could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C depending on when heavier showers arrive. Historical late-August averages near 32°C provide context, yet the current wet pattern supports trader consensus around the lower end of the typical range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,769Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and cloud cover driven by the East Asian monsoon are moderating maximum temperatures in Shenzhen, with official forecasts pointing to highs of 30–32°C on August 31 amid thunderstorms and high humidity near 80–95%. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, favoring 30–31°C outcomes that together hold over 60% market-implied probability. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on rainfall intensity and timing, which could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C depending on when heavier showers arrive. Historical late-August averages near 32°C provide context, yet the current wet pattern supports trader consensus around the lower end of the typical range ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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