Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate an overnight minimum near 19°C in São Paulo under partly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling. Late-winter positioning in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with a preceding warm, dry air mass driving daytime highs above 30°C, sets up a diurnal range favoring lows in the upper teens Celsius. Light southeasterly winds and urban heat effects further moderate cooling, aligning trader consensus around the 19°C outcome at high implied probability while sustaining meaningful odds near 18°C or 17°C or below. Newer model guidance and station observations through the evening will refine exact resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
19°C 50%
17°C or below 48%
18°C 48%
20°C <1%
$1,756 KL.
$1,756 KL.
17°C or below
48%
18°C
48%
19°C
50%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
19°C 50%
17°C or below 48%
18°C 48%
20°C <1%
$1,756 KL.
$1,756 KL.
17°C or below
48%
18°C
48%
19°C
50%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate an overnight minimum near 19°C in São Paulo under partly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling. Late-winter positioning in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with a preceding warm, dry air mass driving daytime highs above 30°C, sets up a diurnal range favoring lows in the upper teens Celsius. Light southeasterly winds and urban heat effects further moderate cooling, aligning trader consensus around the 19°C outcome at high implied probability while sustaining meaningful odds near 18°C or 17°C or below. Newer model guidance and station observations through the evening will refine exact resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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