Recent forecasts from multiple models show Moscow's overnight minimum on August 31 stabilizing near 15–16 °C under light southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover, with only modest radiative cooling expected before daytime warming to 22–24 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 13–15 °C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and the precise timing of any light showers can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C at official stations. Historical late-August norms and current GFS/ECMWF guidance support this narrow range, with limited upside risk above 16 °C or downside below 12 °C absent an unexpected cold-air intrusion.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Moscow on August 31?
9°C or below 90%
13°C 48%
14°C 48%
15°C 48%
9°C or below
90%
10°C
45%
11°C
47%
12°C
46%
13°C
48%
14°C
48%
15°C
48%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
1%
9°C or below 90%
13°C 48%
14°C 48%
15°C 48%
9°C or below
90%
10°C
45%
11°C
47%
12°C
46%
13°C
48%
14°C
48%
15°C
48%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show Moscow's overnight minimum on August 31 stabilizing near 15–16 °C under light southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover, with only modest radiative cooling expected before daytime warming to 22–24 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 13–15 °C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and the precise timing of any light showers can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C at official stations. Historical late-August norms and current GFS/ECMWF guidance support this narrow range, with limited upside risk above 16 °C or downside below 12 °C absent an unexpected cold-air intrusion.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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