**Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current are the dominant factors capping San Francisco’s peak temperature near or slightly below the 69.8°F climatological average on August 30, 2026.** National Weather Service forecasts for SFO emphasize a partly cloudy day with a high near 66°F, reinforced by sea breezes and coastal upwelling that keep adjacent Pacific waters at 55–58°F. Recent model consensus shows limited afternoon clearing potential, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 68–69°F (55.5%) and 70–71°F (31.5%) bins. Minor differences in predicted wind strength and stratus thinning explain the spread between these leading outcomes, while historical analogs for late-August coastal maxima align closely with trader-implied probabilities. Updated NWS briefings and real-time SFO observations will provide the final resolution data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 30?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 30?
68-69°F 49%
70-71°F 41%
72-73°F 5%
66-67°F 3%
$9,219 KL.
$9,219 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
41%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 49%
70-71°F 41%
72-73°F 5%
66-67°F 3%
$9,219 KL.
$9,219 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
$318 KL.
<1%
60-61°F
$350 KL.
<1%
62-63°F
$340 KL.
1%
64-65°F
$570 KL.
2%
66-67°F
$1,954 KL.
3%
68-69°F
$1,216 KL.
49%
70-71°F
$2,699 KL.
41%
72-73°F
$831 KL.
5%
74-75°F
$350 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$285 KL.
<1%
78°F or higher
$306 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current are the dominant factors capping San Francisco’s peak temperature near or slightly below the 69.8°F climatological average on August 30, 2026.** National Weather Service forecasts for SFO emphasize a partly cloudy day with a high near 66°F, reinforced by sea breezes and coastal upwelling that keep adjacent Pacific waters at 55–58°F. Recent model consensus shows limited afternoon clearing potential, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 68–69°F (55.5%) and 70–71°F (31.5%) bins. Minor differences in predicted wind strength and stratus thinning explain the spread between these leading outcomes, while historical analogs for late-August coastal maxima align closely with trader-implied probabilities. Updated NWS briefings and real-time SFO observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,219Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current are the dominant factors capping San Francisco’s peak temperature near or slightly below the 69.8°F climatological average on August 30, 2026.** National Weather Service forecasts for SFO emphasize a partly cloudy day with a high near 66°F, reinforced by sea breezes and coastal upwelling that keep adjacent Pacific waters at 55–58°F. Recent model consensus shows limited afternoon clearing potential, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 68–69°F (55.5%) and 70–71°F (31.5%) bins. Minor differences in predicted wind strength and stratus thinning explain the spread between these leading outcomes, while historical analogs for late-August coastal maxima align closely with trader-implied probabilities. Updated NWS briefings and real-time SFO observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,219Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current are the dominant factors capping San Francisco’s peak temperature near or slightly below the 69.8°F climatological average on August 30, 2026.** National Weather Service forecasts for SFO emphasize a partly cloudy day with a high near 66°F, reinforced by sea breezes and coastal upwelling that keep adjacent Pacific waters at 55–58°F. Recent model consensus shows limited afternoon clearing potential, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 68–69°F (55.5%) and 70–71°F (31.5%) bins. Minor differences in predicted wind strength and stratus thinning explain the spread between these leading outcomes, while historical analogs for late-August coastal maxima align closely with trader-implied probabilities. Updated NWS briefings and real-time SFO observations will provide the final resolution data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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