Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Miami on August 23, 2026, indicate overnight lows near 80–82°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 35% implied probability. Miami’s subtropical climate produces limited diurnal temperature swings in late summer, with average August minima around 80°F driven by high humidity, warm Gulf Stream waters, and persistent southerly flow. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with minimums of 80–82°F on preceding nights and no approaching cold front or significant cloud cover to suppress radiative cooling. Traders are thus clustering probability around the forecast consensus, with lower bins discounted absent unexpected model shifts before dawn resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 23?
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 18%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 7.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 18%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 7.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$58 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$217 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$228 KL.
7%
76-77°F
$35 KL.
11%
78-79°F
$78 KL.
18%
80-81°F
$368 KL.
46%
82-83°F
$575 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,508 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$55 KL.
<1%
88-89°F
$110 KL.
<1%
90°F or higher
$115 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Miami on August 23, 2026, indicate overnight lows near 80–82°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 35% implied probability. Miami’s subtropical climate produces limited diurnal temperature swings in late summer, with average August minima around 80°F driven by high humidity, warm Gulf Stream waters, and persistent southerly flow. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with minimums of 80–82°F on preceding nights and no approaching cold front or significant cloud cover to suppress radiative cooling. Traders are thus clustering probability around the forecast consensus, with lower bins discounted absent unexpected model shifts before dawn resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,347Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Miami on August 23, 2026, indicate overnight lows near 80–82°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 35% implied probability. Miami’s subtropical climate produces limited diurnal temperature swings in late summer, with average August minima around 80°F driven by high humidity, warm Gulf Stream waters, and persistent southerly flow. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with minimums of 80–82°F on preceding nights and no approaching cold front or significant cloud cover to suppress radiative cooling. Traders are thus clustering probability around the forecast consensus, with lower bins discounted absent unexpected model shifts before dawn resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,347Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Miami on August 23, 2026, indicate overnight lows near 80–82°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 35% implied probability. Miami’s subtropical climate produces limited diurnal temperature swings in late summer, with average August minima around 80°F driven by high humidity, warm Gulf Stream waters, and persistent southerly flow. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with minimums of 80–82°F on preceding nights and no approaching cold front or significant cloud cover to suppress radiative cooling. Traders are thus clustering probability around the forecast consensus, with lower bins discounted absent unexpected model shifts before dawn resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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