**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service (NWS) and other sources project a high temperature in the low 90s°F for Miami on August 24, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 90–93°F.** Recent observations show today’s (August 23) high reached 91–94°F under mostly sunny skies with afternoon thunderstorms and patchy smoke, setting up similar conditions tomorrow. NWS zone and point forecasts consistently call for mostly sunny skies, southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and only a 10–30% chance of showers, supporting highs of 90–92°F with heat indices near 105°F due to humidity. This reflects typical late-August subtropical patterns in South Florida, where high pressure and light winds allow strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or tropical moisture intrusion. Model consensus shows little spread, with no major forecast updates or steering pattern changes in the last 24–48 hours that would push readings into the mid-90s or below 90°F. Traders have priced in this stability, concentrating over 90% probability on the 90–93°F range, consistent with the narrow band of official guidance and historical late-summer baselines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 24?
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 36%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 4%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
36%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 36%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 4%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
36%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service (NWS) and other sources project a high temperature in the low 90s°F for Miami on August 24, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 90–93°F.** Recent observations show today’s (August 23) high reached 91–94°F under mostly sunny skies with afternoon thunderstorms and patchy smoke, setting up similar conditions tomorrow. NWS zone and point forecasts consistently call for mostly sunny skies, southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and only a 10–30% chance of showers, supporting highs of 90–92°F with heat indices near 105°F due to humidity. This reflects typical late-August subtropical patterns in South Florida, where high pressure and light winds allow strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or tropical moisture intrusion. Model consensus shows little spread, with no major forecast updates or steering pattern changes in the last 24–48 hours that would push readings into the mid-90s or below 90°F. Traders have priced in this stability, concentrating over 90% probability on the 90–93°F range, consistent with the narrow band of official guidance and historical late-summer baselines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp