Recent numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET indicate a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 14 likely near or below 16°C, driving the 75.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight are expected to enhance radiational cooling under high pressure, with dew points supporting efficient temperature drops after sunset. This aligns with the historical September average low of 15.7°C while current guidance shows slightly warmer conditions than the long-term mean but still within the cooler resolution range. Updated model runs and official station observations through the night will provide the final data for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Madrid on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 14?
16°C or below 75%
18°C 29%
19°C 28%
17°C 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
16°C or below
75%
17°C
25%
18°C
29%
19°C
28%
20°C
14%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
16°C or below 75%
18°C 29%
19°C 28%
17°C 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
16°C or below
$0 KL.
75%
17°C
$0 KL.
25%
18°C
$0 KL.
29%
19°C
$0 KL.
28%
20°C
$0 KL.
14%
21°C
$6 KL.
<1%
22°C
$8 KL.
<1%
23°C
$10 KL.
<1%
24°C
$0 KL.
1%
25°C
$0 KL.
1%
26°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET indicate a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 14 likely near or below 16°C, driving the 75.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight are expected to enhance radiational cooling under high pressure, with dew points supporting efficient temperature drops after sunset. This aligns with the historical September average low of 15.7°C while current guidance shows slightly warmer conditions than the long-term mean but still within the cooler resolution range. Updated model runs and official station observations through the night will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET indicate a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 14 likely near or below 16°C, driving the 75.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight are expected to enhance radiational cooling under high pressure, with dew points supporting efficient temperature drops after sunset. This aligns with the historical September average low of 15.7°C while current guidance shows slightly warmer conditions than the long-term mean but still within the cooler resolution range. Updated model runs and official station observations through the night will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$24Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET indicate a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 14 likely near or below 16°C, driving the 75.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight are expected to enhance radiational cooling under high pressure, with dew points supporting efficient temperature drops after sunset. This aligns with the historical September average low of 15.7°C while current guidance shows slightly warmer conditions than the long-term mean but still within the cooler resolution range. Updated model runs and official station observations through the night will provide the final data for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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