Forecast models from sources including GFS show a consensus maximum of 20°C in Warsaw on September 13 under overcast skies, light southerly winds around 10-16 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs range 16-20°C, and current observations confirm afternoon readings reaching or holding near 20°C without significant warming or cooling signals. Stable high pressure and minimal model spread support the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C, while slight upside potential for 21°C remains limited by persistent cloud cover and modest thermal advection. Updated model runs and official agency briefings will refine any final adjustments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
20°C 62%
19°C 20%
21°C 15%
18°C 4%
MỚI
$10,113 KL.
MỚI
$10,113 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
20%
20°C
62%
21°C
15%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 62%
19°C 20%
21°C 15%
18°C 4%
MỚI
$10,113 KL.
MỚI
$10,113 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
14°C or below
$67 KL.
<1%
15°C
$134 KL.
<1%
16°C
$137 KL.
<1%
17°C
$174 KL.
<1%
18°C
$786 KL.
4%
19°C
$2,707 KL.
20%
20°C
$2,428 KL.
62%
21°C
$2,177 KL.
15%
22°C
$857 KL.
2%
23°C
$257 KL.
1%
24°C or higher
$389 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS show a consensus maximum of 20°C in Warsaw on September 13 under overcast skies, light southerly winds around 10-16 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs range 16-20°C, and current observations confirm afternoon readings reaching or holding near 20°C without significant warming or cooling signals. Stable high pressure and minimal model spread support the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C, while slight upside potential for 21°C remains limited by persistent cloud cover and modest thermal advection. Updated model runs and official agency briefings will refine any final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,113Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS show a consensus maximum of 20°C in Warsaw on September 13 under overcast skies, light southerly winds around 10-16 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs range 16-20°C, and current observations confirm afternoon readings reaching or holding near 20°C without significant warming or cooling signals. Stable high pressure and minimal model spread support the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C, while slight upside potential for 21°C remains limited by persistent cloud cover and modest thermal advection. Updated model runs and official agency briefings will refine any final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,113Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS show a consensus maximum of 20°C in Warsaw on September 13 under overcast skies, light southerly winds around 10-16 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs range 16-20°C, and current observations confirm afternoon readings reaching or holding near 20°C without significant warming or cooling signals. Stable high pressure and minimal model spread support the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C, while slight upside potential for 21°C remains limited by persistent cloud cover and modest thermal advection. Updated model runs and official agency briefings will refine any final adjustments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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