**Trader consensus strongly favors a 33°C high in Hong Kong on September 12 due to model consensus and current atmospheric conditions.** A northeast monsoon combined with a developing low-pressure system over the central South China Sea is producing partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and thunderstorms, typical for mid-September. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather prediction runs indicate daytime maxima reaching the low 30s Celsius, with 33°C aligning closely with observed peaks in hourly data and historical analogs for the date. High humidity (often 65–85%) supports elevated heat indices, but resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory. Scenarios that could shift odds include heavier persistent cloud cover or earlier rain suppressing the peak below 33°C, or clearer conditions allowing a brief spike higher; updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine this further.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
33°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,328 KL.
$130,328 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,328 KL.
$130,328 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$374 KL.
<1%
26°C
$125 KL.
<1%
27°C
$608 KL.
<1%
28°C
$4,821 KL.
<1%
29°C
$7,704 KL.
<1%
30°C
$16,308 KL.
<1%
31°C
$36,954 KL.
<1%
32°C
$26,674 KL.
<1%
33°C
$28,078 KL.
100%
34°C
$7,215 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,466 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 33°C high in Hong Kong on September 12 due to model consensus and current atmospheric conditions.** A northeast monsoon combined with a developing low-pressure system over the central South China Sea is producing partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and thunderstorms, typical for mid-September. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather prediction runs indicate daytime maxima reaching the low 30s Celsius, with 33°C aligning closely with observed peaks in hourly data and historical analogs for the date. High humidity (often 65–85%) supports elevated heat indices, but resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory. Scenarios that could shift odds include heavier persistent cloud cover or earlier rain suppressing the peak below 33°C, or clearer conditions allowing a brief spike higher; updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine this further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$130,328Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 33°C high in Hong Kong on September 12 due to model consensus and current atmospheric conditions.** A northeast monsoon combined with a developing low-pressure system over the central South China Sea is producing partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and thunderstorms, typical for mid-September. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather prediction runs indicate daytime maxima reaching the low 30s Celsius, with 33°C aligning closely with observed peaks in hourly data and historical analogs for the date. High humidity (often 65–85%) supports elevated heat indices, but resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory. Scenarios that could shift odds include heavier persistent cloud cover or earlier rain suppressing the peak below 33°C, or clearer conditions allowing a brief spike higher; updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine this further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$130,328Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 33°C high in Hong Kong on September 12 due to model consensus and current atmospheric conditions.** A northeast monsoon combined with a developing low-pressure system over the central South China Sea is producing partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and thunderstorms, typical for mid-September. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather prediction runs indicate daytime maxima reaching the low 30s Celsius, with 33°C aligning closely with observed peaks in hourly data and historical analogs for the date. High humidity (often 65–85%) supports elevated heat indices, but resolution depends on the official maximum recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory. Scenarios that could shift odds include heavier persistent cloud cover or earlier rain suppressing the peak below 33°C, or clearer conditions allowing a brief spike higher; updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine this further.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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