Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds for Toronto on September 14, supporting radiative cooling overnight and an expected minimum near 13°C. This aligns with the historical average low of 14.2°C while recent model runs show limited spread. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 12°C and 16°C or higher because small variations in cloud cover, wind mixing, or timing of the overnight minimum can shift the precise low by a degree or two. Traders weigh the dry, stable high-pressure pattern against the narrow margin separating leading outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of sunset on the 13th will refine resolution probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on September 14?
6°C or below 71%
12°C 47%
16°C or higher 43%
13°C 35%
6°C or below
71%
7°C
15%
8°C
15%
9°C
14%
10°C
29%
11°C
30%
12°C
47%
13°C
35%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C or higher
43%
6°C or below 71%
12°C 47%
16°C or higher 43%
13°C 35%
6°C or below
71%
7°C
15%
8°C
15%
9°C
14%
10°C
29%
11°C
30%
12°C
47%
13°C
35%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds for Toronto on September 14, supporting radiative cooling overnight and an expected minimum near 13°C. This aligns with the historical average low of 14.2°C while recent model runs show limited spread. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 12°C and 16°C or higher because small variations in cloud cover, wind mixing, or timing of the overnight minimum can shift the precise low by a degree or two. Traders weigh the dry, stable high-pressure pattern against the narrow margin separating leading outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of sunset on the 13th will refine resolution probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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