Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mostly clear, high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires on September 14, favoring modest daytime heating with highs likely peaking near 15–16°C. Light northerly or variable winds limit cold-air advection while allowing solar insolation to raise surface temperatures from overnight lows near 6–8°C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact wind shifts that could cap or enhance the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With probabilities tightly clustered, traders appear to weigh the balance between radiative warming potential and minor model spread in steering patterns, typical for springtime conditions where historical September maxima average around 18°C but recent cool anomalies have prevailed. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 14?
16°C 38%
15°C 33%
17°C 13%
14°C 11%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
33%
16°C
38%
17°C
13%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
16°C 38%
15°C 33%
17°C 13%
14°C 11%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
33%
16°C
38%
17°C
13%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mostly clear, high-pressure regime over Buenos Aires on September 14, favoring modest daytime heating with highs likely peaking near 15–16°C. Light northerly or variable winds limit cold-air advection while allowing solar insolation to raise surface temperatures from overnight lows near 6–8°C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact wind shifts that could cap or enhance the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With probabilities tightly clustered, traders appear to weigh the balance between radiative warming potential and minor model spread in steering patterns, typical for springtime conditions where historical September maxima average around 18°C but recent cool anomalies have prevailed. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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