**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on September 12, reflecting preliminary observations and model guidance showing limited overnight cooling.** Persistent high humidity, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and extensive cloud cover from a moist easterly flow suppressed radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated relative to climatological norms of about 24°C for mid-September. Official Hong Kong Observatory data, once finalized in the daily extract, will confirm the absolute minimum; any downward revision in post-processed values remains possible but unlikely given the narrow spread in real-time readings. Upcoming model updates and the next HKO bulletin represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift residual uncertainty around the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
27°C 98.8%
26°C 1.1%
31°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
$107,956 KL.
$107,956 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 98.8%
26°C 1.1%
31°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
$107,956 KL.
$107,956 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
22°C or below
$528 KL.
<1%
23°C
$2,001 KL.
<1%
24°C
$4,259 KL.
<1%
25°C
$5,967 KL.
<1%
26°C
$2,317 KL.
1%
27°C
$6,383 KL.
99%
28°C
$86,132 KL.
<1%
29°C
$82 KL.
<1%
30°C
$157 KL.
<1%
31°C
$76 KL.
1%
32°C or higher
$54 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on September 12, reflecting preliminary observations and model guidance showing limited overnight cooling.** Persistent high humidity, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and extensive cloud cover from a moist easterly flow suppressed radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated relative to climatological norms of about 24°C for mid-September. Official Hong Kong Observatory data, once finalized in the daily extract, will confirm the absolute minimum; any downward revision in post-processed values remains possible but unlikely given the narrow spread in real-time readings. Upcoming model updates and the next HKO bulletin represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift residual uncertainty around the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$107,956Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on September 12, reflecting preliminary observations and model guidance showing limited overnight cooling.** Persistent high humidity, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and extensive cloud cover from a moist easterly flow suppressed radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated relative to climatological norms of about 24°C for mid-September. Official Hong Kong Observatory data, once finalized in the daily extract, will confirm the absolute minimum; any downward revision in post-processed values remains possible but unlikely given the narrow spread in real-time readings. Upcoming model updates and the next HKO bulletin represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift residual uncertainty around the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$107,956Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on September 12, reflecting preliminary observations and model guidance showing limited overnight cooling.** Persistent high humidity, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and extensive cloud cover from a moist easterly flow suppressed radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated relative to climatological norms of about 24°C for mid-September. Official Hong Kong Observatory data, once finalized in the daily extract, will confirm the absolute minimum; any downward revision in post-processed values remains possible but unlikely given the narrow spread in real-time readings. Upcoming model updates and the next HKO bulletin represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift residual uncertainty around the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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