Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely settle near 26–27°C, aligning with trader consensus on the 27°C outcome. Persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 80–95%, and widespread cloud cover from monsoon influences limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to drier autumn baselines. Light winds and scattered showers further moderate temperature drops, with official Hong Kong Observatory observations showing daytime peaks around 30–32°C transitioning to minima in the mid-20s. Final resolution hinges on the verified daily low from the observatory, with any late-day model adjustments or unexpected clearing potentially shifting probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
27°C 69%
26°C 12%
25°C 10%
24°C 3%
$18,586 KL.
$18,586 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
12%
27°C
69%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 69%
26°C 12%
25°C 10%
24°C 3%
$18,586 KL.
$18,586 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
$739 KL.
<1%
23°C
$2,717 KL.
<1%
24°C
$2,576 KL.
3%
25°C
$3,072 KL.
10%
26°C
$2,406 KL.
12%
27°C
$6,235 KL.
69%
28°C
$446 KL.
<1%
29°C
$164 KL.
<1%
30°C
$77 KL.
<1%
31°C
$77 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$77 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely settle near 26–27°C, aligning with trader consensus on the 27°C outcome. Persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 80–95%, and widespread cloud cover from monsoon influences limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to drier autumn baselines. Light winds and scattered showers further moderate temperature drops, with official Hong Kong Observatory observations showing daytime peaks around 30–32°C transitioning to minima in the mid-20s. Final resolution hinges on the verified daily low from the observatory, with any late-day model adjustments or unexpected clearing potentially shifting probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,586Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely settle near 26–27°C, aligning with trader consensus on the 27°C outcome. Persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 80–95%, and widespread cloud cover from monsoon influences limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to drier autumn baselines. Light winds and scattered showers further moderate temperature drops, with official Hong Kong Observatory observations showing daytime peaks around 30–32°C transitioning to minima in the mid-20s. Final resolution hinges on the verified daily low from the observatory, with any late-day model adjustments or unexpected clearing potentially shifting probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$18,586Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely settle near 26–27°C, aligning with trader consensus on the 27°C outcome. Persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 80–95%, and widespread cloud cover from monsoon influences limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to drier autumn baselines. Light winds and scattered showers further moderate temperature drops, with official Hong Kong Observatory observations showing daytime peaks around 30–32°C transitioning to minima in the mid-20s. Final resolution hinges on the verified daily low from the observatory, with any late-day model adjustments or unexpected clearing potentially shifting probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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