Recent forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles point to overnight lows near 26°C on September 14, driven by typical subtropical September conditions with partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80-90%. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 27°C reflects uncertainty in radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and any scattered showers, which could limit temperature drops or enhance them depending on timing. Clearer intervals overnight would favor the lower end near 25°C through greater heat loss, while increased moisture or wind would support 27°C by retaining warmth. Historical September minima average near 24°C, providing context for the current consensus. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
27°C 36%
26°C 35%
25°C 24%
28°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
24%
26°C
35%
27°C
36%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 36%
26°C 35%
25°C 24%
28°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
$121 KL.
<1%
22°C
$22 KL.
1%
23°C
$351 KL.
2%
24°C
$56 KL.
7%
25°C
$342 KL.
24%
26°C
$390 KL.
35%
27°C
$744 KL.
36%
28°C
$183 KL.
7%
29°C
$24 KL.
1%
30°C
$618 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$40 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles point to overnight lows near 26°C on September 14, driven by typical subtropical September conditions with partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80-90%. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 27°C reflects uncertainty in radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and any scattered showers, which could limit temperature drops or enhance them depending on timing. Clearer intervals overnight would favor the lower end near 25°C through greater heat loss, while increased moisture or wind would support 27°C by retaining warmth. Historical September minima average near 24°C, providing context for the current consensus. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,891Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles point to overnight lows near 26°C on September 14, driven by typical subtropical September conditions with partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80-90%. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 27°C reflects uncertainty in radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and any scattered showers, which could limit temperature drops or enhance them depending on timing. Clearer intervals overnight would favor the lower end near 25°C through greater heat loss, while increased moisture or wind would support 27°C by retaining warmth. Historical September minima average near 24°C, providing context for the current consensus. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$2,891Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles point to overnight lows near 26°C on September 14, driven by typical subtropical September conditions with partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80-90%. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 27°C reflects uncertainty in radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and any scattered showers, which could limit temperature drops or enhance them depending on timing. Clearer intervals overnight would favor the lower end near 25°C through greater heat loss, while increased moisture or wind would support 27°C by retaining warmth. Historical September minima average near 24°C, providing context for the current consensus. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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