Persistent northwesterly flow and widespread cloud cover are capping daytime heating in Cape Town ahead of September 15, with official forecasts from multiple models showing a maximum of 16–18°C amid rain and winds exceeding 25 km/h. This setup favors the market’s tight clustering around 17–18°C, as limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation suppress temperatures relative to the mid-September climatological average near 19°C. Minor differences between 17°C and 19°C outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud thickness, wind-driven mixing, or any brief clearing that could allow modest warming before the next frontal passage. Updated model runs and official observations on the 14th will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 15?
18°C 36%
17°C 35%
16°C 17%
15°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
12%
17°C
35%
18°C
28%
19°C
6%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 36%
17°C 35%
16°C 17%
15°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
12°C or below
$10 KL.
2%
13°C
$10 KL.
4%
14°C
$10 KL.
4%
15°C
$0 KL.
8%
16°C
$145 KL.
12%
17°C
$582 KL.
35%
18°C
$5 KL.
28%
19°C
$32 KL.
6%
20°C
$50 KL.
3%
21°C
$0 KL.
2%
22°C or higher
$10 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northwesterly flow and widespread cloud cover are capping daytime heating in Cape Town ahead of September 15, with official forecasts from multiple models showing a maximum of 16–18°C amid rain and winds exceeding 25 km/h. This setup favors the market’s tight clustering around 17–18°C, as limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation suppress temperatures relative to the mid-September climatological average near 19°C. Minor differences between 17°C and 19°C outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud thickness, wind-driven mixing, or any brief clearing that could allow modest warming before the next frontal passage. Updated model runs and official observations on the 14th will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$855Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northwesterly flow and widespread cloud cover are capping daytime heating in Cape Town ahead of September 15, with official forecasts from multiple models showing a maximum of 16–18°C amid rain and winds exceeding 25 km/h. This setup favors the market’s tight clustering around 17–18°C, as limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation suppress temperatures relative to the mid-September climatological average near 19°C. Minor differences between 17°C and 19°C outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud thickness, wind-driven mixing, or any brief clearing that could allow modest warming before the next frontal passage. Updated model runs and official observations on the 14th will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$855Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent northwesterly flow and widespread cloud cover are capping daytime heating in Cape Town ahead of September 15, with official forecasts from multiple models showing a maximum of 16–18°C amid rain and winds exceeding 25 km/h. This setup favors the market’s tight clustering around 17–18°C, as limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation suppress temperatures relative to the mid-September climatological average near 19°C. Minor differences between 17°C and 19°C outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud thickness, wind-driven mixing, or any brief clearing that could allow modest warming before the next frontal passage. Updated model runs and official observations on the 14th will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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