**Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions have locked in a maximum of 33°C for Madrid on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market’s near-certain 99.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and supporting global models (GFS, ECMWF) show afternoon temperatures peaking at or very near 33°C under sunny conditions with light southerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation risk. This matches historical late-summer patterns for the region while reflecting the specific atmospheric setup today. The slim remaining probabilities for 34°C or lower values would require an unexpected model shift or localized microclimate variation not currently indicated in the latest runs; traders are therefore heavily weighting the consensus forecast data available through the close of the trading day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on September 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 13?
33°C 99.8%
34°C 2%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$40,641 KL.
$40,641 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C 2%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$40,641 KL.
$40,641 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
26°C or below
$239 KL.
<1%
27°C
$173 KL.
<1%
28°C
$320 KL.
<1%
29°C
$708 KL.
<1%
30°C
$946 KL.
<1%
31°C
$4,066 KL.
<1%
32°C
$12,874 KL.
<1%
33°C
$9,566 KL.
100%
34°C
$7,904 KL.
2%
35°C
$3,222 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,237 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions have locked in a maximum of 33°C for Madrid on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market’s near-certain 99.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and supporting global models (GFS, ECMWF) show afternoon temperatures peaking at or very near 33°C under sunny conditions with light southerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation risk. This matches historical late-summer patterns for the region while reflecting the specific atmospheric setup today. The slim remaining probabilities for 34°C or lower values would require an unexpected model shift or localized microclimate variation not currently indicated in the latest runs; traders are therefore heavily weighting the consensus forecast data available through the close of the trading day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$40,641Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions have locked in a maximum of 33°C for Madrid on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market’s near-certain 99.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and supporting global models (GFS, ECMWF) show afternoon temperatures peaking at or very near 33°C under sunny conditions with light southerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation risk. This matches historical late-summer patterns for the region while reflecting the specific atmospheric setup today. The slim remaining probabilities for 34°C or lower values would require an unexpected model shift or localized microclimate variation not currently indicated in the latest runs; traders are therefore heavily weighting the consensus forecast data available through the close of the trading day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$40,641Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions have locked in a maximum of 33°C for Madrid on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market’s near-certain 99.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and supporting global models (GFS, ECMWF) show afternoon temperatures peaking at or very near 33°C under sunny conditions with light southerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation risk. This matches historical late-summer patterns for the region while reflecting the specific atmospheric setup today. The slim remaining probabilities for 34°C or lower values would require an unexpected model shift or localized microclimate variation not currently indicated in the latest runs; traders are therefore heavily weighting the consensus forecast data available through the close of the trading day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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