Trader consensus on a 21°C high for Amsterdam on September 13 reflects real-time observational data and model consensus showing peak readings near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow. Official monitoring at Schiphol and surrounding stations, informed by ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicates limited solar heating due to persistent cloud cover and modest onshore advection, keeping values just above the 19.5°C long-term average high while preventing excursions toward 22°C or higher. Recent model runs have converged on this narrow range without significant afternoon clearing. A realistic challenge would require unforecasted breaks in cloud allowing stronger insolation or a shift in steering patterns that boosts temperatures by 1–2°C before official daily maximum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$45,021 KL.
$45,021 KL.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$45,021 KL.
$45,021 KL.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on a 21°C high for Amsterdam on September 13 reflects real-time observational data and model consensus showing peak readings near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow. Official monitoring at Schiphol and surrounding stations, informed by ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicates limited solar heating due to persistent cloud cover and modest onshore advection, keeping values just above the 19.5°C long-term average high while preventing excursions toward 22°C or higher. Recent model runs have converged on this narrow range without significant afternoon clearing. A realistic challenge would require unforecasted breaks in cloud allowing stronger insolation or a shift in steering patterns that boosts temperatures by 1–2°C before official daily maximum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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