**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 22°C high in Istanbul on September 13 reflects real-time observational data and model agreement showing the daily maximum reached or stabilized at that level.** Northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers have suppressed afternoon heating, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September and preventing any push toward higher readings. Official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service confirms temperatures peaking near 22°C amid these conditions, with forecast ensembles showing tight clustering around this value. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing or measurement discrepancies at official stations that push the verified high above the threshold before final reporting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 13?
22°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,254 KL.
$23,254 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,254 KL.
$23,254 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
20°C or below
$464 KL.
<1%
21°C
$2,934 KL.
<1%
22°C
$7,709 KL.
100%
23°C
$2,331 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,676 KL.
<1%
25°C
$6,488 KL.
<1%
26°C
$655 KL.
<1%
27°C
$412 KL.
<1%
28°C
$252 KL.
<1%
29°C
$169 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$163 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 22°C high in Istanbul on September 13 reflects real-time observational data and model agreement showing the daily maximum reached or stabilized at that level.** Northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers have suppressed afternoon heating, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September and preventing any push toward higher readings. Official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service confirms temperatures peaking near 22°C amid these conditions, with forecast ensembles showing tight clustering around this value. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing or measurement discrepancies at official stations that push the verified high above the threshold before final reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,254Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 22°C high in Istanbul on September 13 reflects real-time observational data and model agreement showing the daily maximum reached or stabilized at that level.** Northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers have suppressed afternoon heating, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September and preventing any push toward higher readings. Official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service confirms temperatures peaking near 22°C amid these conditions, with forecast ensembles showing tight clustering around this value. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing or measurement discrepancies at official stations that push the verified high above the threshold before final reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$23,254Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 22°C high in Istanbul on September 13 reflects real-time observational data and model agreement showing the daily maximum reached or stabilized at that level.** Northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers have suppressed afternoon heating, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September and preventing any push toward higher readings. Official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service confirms temperatures peaking near 22°C amid these conditions, with forecast ensembles showing tight clustering around this value. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing or measurement discrepancies at official stations that push the verified high above the threshold before final reporting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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