Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely fall between 9–11°C overnight under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and stable high pressure. This aligns with the 47% market-implied probability for 13°C or higher as the leading outcome while leaving room for modest downward revisions in ensemble spreads. Westerly flow has kept conditions milder than the September climatological average low of roughly 8°C, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official Hydrometeorological Center guidance will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Moscow on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 15?
13°C or higher 94%
4°C 40%
5°C 21%
6°C 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
3°C or below
1%
4°C
40%
5°C
21%
6°C
21%
7°C
21%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C or higher
94%
13°C or higher 94%
4°C 40%
5°C 21%
6°C 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
3°C or below
$10 KL.
1%
4°C
$10 KL.
40%
5°C
$0 KL.
21%
6°C
$0 KL.
21%
7°C
$0 KL.
21%
8°C
$0 KL.
21%
9°C
$0 KL.
21%
10°C
$0 KL.
21%
11°C
$0 KL.
21%
12°C
$0 KL.
21%
13°C or higher
$72 KL.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely fall between 9–11°C overnight under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and stable high pressure. This aligns with the 47% market-implied probability for 13°C or higher as the leading outcome while leaving room for modest downward revisions in ensemble spreads. Westerly flow has kept conditions milder than the September climatological average low of roughly 8°C, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official Hydrometeorological Center guidance will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$92Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely fall between 9–11°C overnight under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and stable high pressure. This aligns with the 47% market-implied probability for 13°C or higher as the leading outcome while leaving room for modest downward revisions in ensemble spreads. Westerly flow has kept conditions milder than the September climatological average low of roughly 8°C, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official Hydrometeorological Center guidance will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$92Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely fall between 9–11°C overnight under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and stable high pressure. This aligns with the 47% market-implied probability for 13°C or higher as the leading outcome while leaving room for modest downward revisions in ensemble spreads. Westerly flow has kept conditions milder than the September climatological average low of roughly 8°C, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official Hydrometeorological Center guidance will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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