Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate scattered thunderstorms and lingering tropical moisture over Shenzhen on September 15, which is expected to moderate daytime heating and cap the daily maximum near 32°C. This positions the 32°C outcome as the market leader at 26% implied probability, though closely clustered odds for 30–33°C reflect uncertainty in the timing and extent of cloud cover and rainfall. High humidity levels near 80% combined with light easterly winds further limit surface warming compared to clearer conditions. Updated regional model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 15?
32°C 23%
31°C 21%
30°C 18%
35°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
9%
30°C
18%
31°C
21%
32°C
23%
33°C
13%
34°C
10%
35°C
14%
36°C or higher
4%
32°C 23%
31°C 21%
30°C 18%
35°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
$10 KL.
4%
27°C
$10 KL.
4%
28°C
$6 KL.
9%
29°C
$0 KL.
9%
30°C
$0 KL.
18%
31°C
$0 KL.
21%
32°C
$0 KL.
23%
33°C
$0 KL.
13%
34°C
$0 KL.
10%
35°C
$36 KL.
14%
36°C or higher
$10 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate scattered thunderstorms and lingering tropical moisture over Shenzhen on September 15, which is expected to moderate daytime heating and cap the daily maximum near 32°C. This positions the 32°C outcome as the market leader at 26% implied probability, though closely clustered odds for 30–33°C reflect uncertainty in the timing and extent of cloud cover and rainfall. High humidity levels near 80% combined with light easterly winds further limit surface warming compared to clearer conditions. Updated regional model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Khối lượng
$72Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate scattered thunderstorms and lingering tropical moisture over Shenzhen on September 15, which is expected to moderate daytime heating and cap the daily maximum near 32°C. This positions the 32°C outcome as the market leader at 26% implied probability, though closely clustered odds for 30–33°C reflect uncertainty in the timing and extent of cloud cover and rainfall. High humidity levels near 80% combined with light easterly winds further limit surface warming compared to clearer conditions. Updated regional model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$72Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate scattered thunderstorms and lingering tropical moisture over Shenzhen on September 15, which is expected to moderate daytime heating and cap the daily maximum near 32°C. This positions the 32°C outcome as the market leader at 26% implied probability, though closely clustered odds for 30–33°C reflect uncertainty in the timing and extent of cloud cover and rainfall. High humidity levels near 80% combined with light easterly winds further limit surface warming compared to clearer conditions. Updated regional model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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