Forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C for London on August 6 under mostly clear conditions and light westerly flow, yet trader consensus clusters around 15–16°C. This positioning reflects lingering mild overnight patterns from a summer of 1.5°C-above-average minima, elevated North Sea sea-surface temperatures that suppress radiative cooling, and modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer humidity. Limited nocturnal mixing and recent high-pressure influence further support warmer lows than climatology, with resolution hinging on the precise 09:00–09:00 observational window and any last-minute adjustments to steering winds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 6?
15°C 37%
16°C 23%
14°C 17%
17°C 10%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
3%
13°C
10%
14°C
17%
15°C
53%
16°C
23%
17°C
10%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 37%
16°C 23%
14°C 17%
17°C 10%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
3%
13°C
10%
14°C
17%
15°C
53%
16°C
23%
17°C
10%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C for London on August 6 under mostly clear conditions and light westerly flow, yet trader consensus clusters around 15–16°C. This positioning reflects lingering mild overnight patterns from a summer of 1.5°C-above-average minima, elevated North Sea sea-surface temperatures that suppress radiative cooling, and modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer humidity. Limited nocturnal mixing and recent high-pressure influence further support warmer lows than climatology, with resolution hinging on the precise 09:00–09:00 observational window and any last-minute adjustments to steering winds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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