Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF show ensemble spreads centered on a 24–26°C peak for London on August 5, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Minor variations in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise passage of a weak Atlantic front create the key uncertainty differentiating these outcomes, while urban heat-island effects and measurement-site specifics at official stations add further resolution sensitivity. With only 48 hours until the period closes, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and any model consensus shifts that could nudge the daily maximum across the 25–26°C divide.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 5?
Highest temperature in London on August 5?
25°C 39%
26°C 30%
24°C 21%
27°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
21%
25°C
39%
26°C
30%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 39%
26°C 30%
24°C 21%
27°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
$77 KL.
<1%
21°C
$262 KL.
1%
22°C
$58 KL.
1%
23°C
$136 KL.
6%
24°C
$185 KL.
21%
25°C
$334 KL.
39%
26°C
$226 KL.
30%
27°C
$214 KL.
7%
28°C
$141 KL.
2%
29°C
$0 KL.
2%
30°C or higher
$672 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF show ensemble spreads centered on a 24–26°C peak for London on August 5, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Minor variations in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise passage of a weak Atlantic front create the key uncertainty differentiating these outcomes, while urban heat-island effects and measurement-site specifics at official stations add further resolution sensitivity. With only 48 hours until the period closes, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and any model consensus shifts that could nudge the daily maximum across the 25–26°C divide.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,304Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF show ensemble spreads centered on a 24–26°C peak for London on August 5, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Minor variations in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise passage of a weak Atlantic front create the key uncertainty differentiating these outcomes, while urban heat-island effects and measurement-site specifics at official stations add further resolution sensitivity. With only 48 hours until the period closes, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and any model consensus shifts that could nudge the daily maximum across the 25–26°C divide.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,304Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF show ensemble spreads centered on a 24–26°C peak for London on August 5, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Minor variations in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise passage of a weak Atlantic front create the key uncertainty differentiating these outcomes, while urban heat-island effects and measurement-site specifics at official stations add further resolution sensitivity. With only 48 hours until the period closes, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and any model consensus shifts that could nudge the daily maximum across the 25–26°C divide.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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