Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and PredictWind indicate overnight lows near 24–26°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 14, consistent with September climatology featuring typical minima of 23–25°C amid the region's equatorial monsoon patterns. High atmospheric humidity, light winds, and potential cloud cover or scattered showers can suppress radiative cooling overnight, limiting drops below seasonal baselines, while historical records show rare excursions to 20°C or lower even in transitional months. The market's 50% implied probability on 19°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges and model variability in tropical settings, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could enhance cooling, alongside the aggregated assessment of resolution criteria tied to official station measurements. Upcoming model updates from regional meteorological services will provide further clarity on any intensification of these factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 14?
19°C or below 100%
26°C 43%
22°C 40%
27°C 40%
19°C or below
100%
20°C
18%
21°C
17%
22°C
40%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
28%
27°C
40%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
19°C or below 100%
26°C 43%
22°C 40%
27°C 40%
19°C or below
100%
20°C
18%
21°C
17%
22°C
40%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
28%
27°C
40%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and PredictWind indicate overnight lows near 24–26°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 14, consistent with September climatology featuring typical minima of 23–25°C amid the region's equatorial monsoon patterns. High atmospheric humidity, light winds, and potential cloud cover or scattered showers can suppress radiative cooling overnight, limiting drops below seasonal baselines, while historical records show rare excursions to 20°C or lower even in transitional months. The market's 50% implied probability on 19°C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty ranges and model variability in tropical settings, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could enhance cooling, alongside the aggregated assessment of resolution criteria tied to official station measurements. Upcoming model updates from regional meteorological services will provide further clarity on any intensification of these factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp