Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show a strong warm air mass and elevated dew points holding overnight lows in Dallas near 84–85 °F on August 23, driving the 92 % market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent southerly flow and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies have kept minimum temperatures well above seasonal normals, consistent with observed surface observations and ensemble guidance. Historical August minima in the region average several degrees cooler, yet the current pattern lacks any cold-front passage or clear-sky conditions that would allow significant nighttime cooling. A rapid shift in steering currents or unexpected clearing could still lower readings into the low 80s, though latest model consensus assigns low likelihood to such changes before midnight local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
84-85°F 95%
82-83°F 3%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$2,556 KL.
$2,556 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
-
80-81°F
-
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
92%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 95%
82-83°F 3%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$2,556 KL.
$2,556 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
$5 KL.
-
80-81°F
$5 KL.
-
82-83°F
$5 KL.
3%
84-85°F
$255 KL.
92%
86-87°F
$350 KL.
<1%
88-89°F
$100 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$842 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$155 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$142 KL.
<1%
96-97°F
$563 KL.
<1%
98°F or higher
$135 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show a strong warm air mass and elevated dew points holding overnight lows in Dallas near 84–85 °F on August 23, driving the 92 % market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent southerly flow and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies have kept minimum temperatures well above seasonal normals, consistent with observed surface observations and ensemble guidance. Historical August minima in the region average several degrees cooler, yet the current pattern lacks any cold-front passage or clear-sky conditions that would allow significant nighttime cooling. A rapid shift in steering currents or unexpected clearing could still lower readings into the low 80s, though latest model consensus assigns low likelihood to such changes before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,556Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show a strong warm air mass and elevated dew points holding overnight lows in Dallas near 84–85 °F on August 23, driving the 92 % market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent southerly flow and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies have kept minimum temperatures well above seasonal normals, consistent with observed surface observations and ensemble guidance. Historical August minima in the region average several degrees cooler, yet the current pattern lacks any cold-front passage or clear-sky conditions that would allow significant nighttime cooling. A rapid shift in steering currents or unexpected clearing could still lower readings into the low 80s, though latest model consensus assigns low likelihood to such changes before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,556Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show a strong warm air mass and elevated dew points holding overnight lows in Dallas near 84–85 °F on August 23, driving the 92 % market-implied probability for that bin. Persistent southerly flow and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies have kept minimum temperatures well above seasonal normals, consistent with observed surface observations and ensemble guidance. Historical August minima in the region average several degrees cooler, yet the current pattern lacks any cold-front passage or clear-sky conditions that would allow significant nighttime cooling. A rapid shift in steering currents or unexpected clearing could still lower readings into the low 80s, though latest model consensus assigns low likelihood to such changes before midnight local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp