Current forecast guidance from global and regional models points to a Buenos Aires minimum near 4–6°C on August 24 under stable high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Late-winter climatology favors lows around 8–9°C, but recent model runs show a cooler boundary-layer air mass arriving overnight, with outcomes differentiated by cloud cover timing and wind mixing—clearer conditions favor the lower bins while increased moisture or stronger flow supports 6–8°C or higher. Trader consensus around these closely matched probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty ahead of updated ECMWF and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
8°C or higher 68%
6°C 36%
4°C 34%
1°C 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
-2°C or below
14%
-1°C
21%
0°C
19%
1°C
28%
2°C
28%
3°C
28%
4°C
34%
5°C
19%
6°C
36%
7°C
3%
8°C or higher
68%
8°C or higher 68%
6°C 36%
4°C 34%
1°C 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
-2°C or below
$880 KL.
14%
-1°C
$6 KL.
21%
0°C
$0 KL.
19%
1°C
$0 KL.
28%
2°C
$0 KL.
28%
3°C
$0 KL.
28%
4°C
$0 KL.
34%
5°C
$7 KL.
19%
6°C
$0 KL.
36%
7°C
$15 KL.
3%
8°C or higher
$85 KL.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from global and regional models points to a Buenos Aires minimum near 4–6°C on August 24 under stable high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Late-winter climatology favors lows around 8–9°C, but recent model runs show a cooler boundary-layer air mass arriving overnight, with outcomes differentiated by cloud cover timing and wind mixing—clearer conditions favor the lower bins while increased moisture or stronger flow supports 6–8°C or higher. Trader consensus around these closely matched probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty ahead of updated ECMWF and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$993Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from global and regional models points to a Buenos Aires minimum near 4–6°C on August 24 under stable high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Late-winter climatology favors lows around 8–9°C, but recent model runs show a cooler boundary-layer air mass arriving overnight, with outcomes differentiated by cloud cover timing and wind mixing—clearer conditions favor the lower bins while increased moisture or stronger flow supports 6–8°C or higher. Trader consensus around these closely matched probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty ahead of updated ECMWF and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$993Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from global and regional models points to a Buenos Aires minimum near 4–6°C on August 24 under stable high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Late-winter climatology favors lows around 8–9°C, but recent model runs show a cooler boundary-layer air mass arriving overnight, with outcomes differentiated by cloud cover timing and wind mixing—clearer conditions favor the lower bins while increased moisture or stronger flow supports 6–8°C or higher. Trader consensus around these closely matched probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty ahead of updated ECMWF and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp