Recent forecasts for Austin show continued heat with daytime highs near 104–106°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge, but overnight lows centered around 75–78°F amid uncertainty over cloud cover, humidity, and potential tropical moisture. This split drives the near-even market odds between a sub-73°F minimum (favoring enhanced radiational cooling under clear, drier conditions) and a 92°F+ low (reflecting trapped heat from increased moisture or clouds suppressing nighttime drops). Historical August averages near 74–75°F and recent model runs highlight how subtle shifts in steering patterns or Gulf moisture could tip the balance, with National Weather Service updates expected to refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Austin on August 24?
92°F or higher 83%
73°F or below 44%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 36%
73°F or below
44%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
15%
92°F or higher
83%
92°F or higher 83%
73°F or below 44%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 36%
73°F or below
44%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
15%
92°F or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Austin show continued heat with daytime highs near 104–106°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge, but overnight lows centered around 75–78°F amid uncertainty over cloud cover, humidity, and potential tropical moisture. This split drives the near-even market odds between a sub-73°F minimum (favoring enhanced radiational cooling under clear, drier conditions) and a 92°F+ low (reflecting trapped heat from increased moisture or clouds suppressing nighttime drops). Historical August averages near 74–75°F and recent model runs highlight how subtle shifts in steering patterns or Gulf moisture could tip the balance, with National Weather Service updates expected to refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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