Latest numerical weather models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles point to a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 7, supported by typical August climatology of 30–32°C and moderating sea breezes along the Mediterranean coast. Recent forecasts show no intense heatwave affecting the date, with daytime highs near seasonal norms and minimal inland warming expected. Traders appear to weigh model consensus and potential small forecast shifts from updated runs, while noting inherent uncertainty in precise daily maxima. Official observations from Tel Aviv stations will determine resolution against these thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 7?
32°C 56%
31°C 33%
33°C 12%
34°C 2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
33%
32°C
56%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 33%
33°C 12%
34°C 2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
33%
32°C
56%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles point to a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 7, supported by typical August climatology of 30–32°C and moderating sea breezes along the Mediterranean coast. Recent forecasts show no intense heatwave affecting the date, with daytime highs near seasonal norms and minimal inland warming expected. Traders appear to weigh model consensus and potential small forecast shifts from updated runs, while noting inherent uncertainty in precise daily maxima. Official observations from Tel Aviv stations will determine resolution against these thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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