Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a peak of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 26 under stable high-pressure conditions, with light westerly sea breezes and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming or cooling. Recent days have shown temperatures running 1–2°C above the long-term August mean of ~30–31°C amid persistent subtropical ridging, yet no major synoptic shift or heat advection is indicated in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh typical diurnal maxima against small uncertainties in urban heat-island effects and exact wind timing, producing nearly even implied probabilities across the 31–35°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes outside the ensemble range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
33°C 62%
32°C 20%
34°C 19%
35°C 14%
29°C or below
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
14%
33°C
62%
34°C
19%
35°C
14%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
6%
33°C 62%
32°C 20%
34°C 19%
35°C 14%
29°C or below
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
14%
33°C
62%
34°C
19%
35°C
14%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a peak of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 26 under stable high-pressure conditions, with light westerly sea breezes and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming or cooling. Recent days have shown temperatures running 1–2°C above the long-term August mean of ~30–31°C amid persistent subtropical ridging, yet no major synoptic shift or heat advection is indicated in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh typical diurnal maxima against small uncertainties in urban heat-island effects and exact wind timing, producing nearly even implied probabilities across the 31–35°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes outside the ensemble range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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