Market-implied odds favor a Manila high of 32°C or 33°C on August 1 due to southwest monsoon conditions prevailing across Metro Manila. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from the active rainy season typically suppress afternoon peaks, keeping daily maxima near the long-term August average of 31°C per climatological data. Urban heat island effects and variable insolation from intermittent breaks in cloud can push readings 1°C higher on clearer intervals, while stronger convective activity or heavier rainfall favors the lower end. PAGASA monitoring and regional model consensus indicate limited deviation from these seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on precise afternoon observations amid ongoing moisture influx.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 1?
33°C 47%
32°C 42%
34°C 10%
35°C 4%
$10,459 KL.
$10,459 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
42%
33°C
47%
34°C
10%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
32°C 42%
34°C 10%
35°C 4%
$10,459 KL.
$10,459 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
42%
33°C
47%
34°C
10%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds favor a Manila high of 32°C or 33°C on August 1 due to southwest monsoon conditions prevailing across Metro Manila. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from the active rainy season typically suppress afternoon peaks, keeping daily maxima near the long-term August average of 31°C per climatological data. Urban heat island effects and variable insolation from intermittent breaks in cloud can push readings 1°C higher on clearer intervals, while stronger convective activity or heavier rainfall favors the lower end. PAGASA monitoring and regional model consensus indicate limited deviation from these seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on precise afternoon observations amid ongoing moisture influx.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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