Recent clearing after late-August rainfall across Chongqing has allowed subsidence and reduced cloud cover to drive daytime warming, with official China Meteorological Administration guidance projecting center-city highs of 34°C on August 31 amid multi-cloud conditions and light northerly flow. International model consensus clusters around 34–36°C, consistent with regional climatology for late summer in the Sichuan Basin where “autumn tiger” patterns often produce peaks near 35°C before seasonal cooling. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor this narrow band, reflecting convergence in short-range guidance and low expected precipitation. Final NMC observations and any last-minute model adjustments will determine resolution within the next 24 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 31?
35°C 48%
34°C 29%
36°C 16%
33°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
29%
35°C
48%
36°C
16%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 48%
34°C 29%
36°C 16%
33°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
29%
35°C
48%
36°C
16%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent clearing after late-August rainfall across Chongqing has allowed subsidence and reduced cloud cover to drive daytime warming, with official China Meteorological Administration guidance projecting center-city highs of 34°C on August 31 amid multi-cloud conditions and light northerly flow. International model consensus clusters around 34–36°C, consistent with regional climatology for late summer in the Sichuan Basin where “autumn tiger” patterns often produce peaks near 35°C before seasonal cooling. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor this narrow band, reflecting convergence in short-range guidance and low expected precipitation. Final NMC observations and any last-minute model adjustments will determine resolution within the next 24 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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