Recent official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models including the Met Office and ECMWF consensus indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for Ankara on August 24 under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies typical of late-summer continental patterns. This aligns with climatological baselines near 32°C for the period and follows the confirmed 32°C peak recorded on August 19 at Esenboğa station. Model runs show limited spread with minimal moisture or frontal influence expected to alter temperatures, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 32°C outcome while allowing modest probability for a 33°C exceedance if daytime heating intensifies slightly. Updated guidance on August 23 reinforces this range ahead of the daily maximum observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on August 24?
32°C 66%
33°C 20%
31°C 12%
30°C 2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
66%
33°C
20%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 66%
33°C 20%
31°C 12%
30°C 2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
66%
33°C
20%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models including the Met Office and ECMWF consensus indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for Ankara on August 24 under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies typical of late-summer continental patterns. This aligns with climatological baselines near 32°C for the period and follows the confirmed 32°C peak recorded on August 19 at Esenboğa station. Model runs show limited spread with minimal moisture or frontal influence expected to alter temperatures, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 32°C outcome while allowing modest probability for a 33°C exceedance if daytime heating intensifies slightly. Updated guidance on August 23 reinforces this range ahead of the daily maximum observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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