Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on an overnight low of 16–18 °C for Ankara on August 24, positioning the 17 °C or below outcome as the market leader at 48% implied probability. Clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 2–6 m/s, and dry air under stable high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, limiting heat retention near the surface. Model consensus supports this range, consistent with typical late-August climatology of 15–18 °C lows, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the minimum. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions heavily ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on August 24?
17°C or below 87%
21°C 46%
18°C 26%
22°C 3%
17°C or below
71%
18°C
26%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
46%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
17°C or below 87%
21°C 46%
18°C 26%
22°C 3%
17°C or below
71%
18°C
26%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
46%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on an overnight low of 16–18 °C for Ankara on August 24, positioning the 17 °C or below outcome as the market leader at 48% implied probability. Clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 2–6 m/s, and dry air under stable high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, limiting heat retention near the surface. Model consensus supports this range, consistent with typical late-August climatology of 15–18 °C lows, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the minimum. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions heavily ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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