Recent polling volatility and the early stage of the October 5 campaign keep PQ seat outcomes tightly contested, with projections centering near 45–50 seats amid wide ranges. A late-August Synopsis poll showed CAQ support surging seven points to tie PQ near 27–28 percent, narrowing the gap after PQ had led for months and reflecting voter response to U.S. trade tensions and CAQ leadership under Christine Fréchette. PQ retains an efficiency edge from concentrated francophone support outside Montreal, yet Liberal strength in urban ridings and ongoing shifts among other parties sustain uncertainty. Further polling and campaign events could widen or narrow the projected band before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено50-54 28%
<50 26%
55-59 15%
70-74 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 5, 2026
<50
26%
50-54
28%
55-59
15%
60-64
8%
65-69
11%
70-74
12%
75-79
3%
80+
4%
50-54 28%
<50 26%
55-59 15%
70-74 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 5, 2026
<50
$1,059 Обс.
26%
50-54
$926 Обс.
28%
55-59
$423 Обс.
15%
60-64
$775 Обс.
8%
65-69
$2,484 Обс.
11%
70-74
$1,706 Обс.
12%
75-79
$953 Обс.
3%
80+
$839 Обс.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling volatility and the early stage of the October 5 campaign keep PQ seat outcomes tightly contested, with projections centering near 45–50 seats amid wide ranges. A late-August Synopsis poll showed CAQ support surging seven points to tie PQ near 27–28 percent, narrowing the gap after PQ had led for months and reflecting voter response to U.S. trade tensions and CAQ leadership under Christine Fréchette. PQ retains an efficiency edge from concentrated francophone support outside Montreal, yet Liberal strength in urban ridings and ongoing shifts among other parties sustain uncertainty. Further polling and campaign events could widen or narrow the projected band before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,164Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling volatility and the early stage of the October 5 campaign keep PQ seat outcomes tightly contested, with projections centering near 45–50 seats amid wide ranges. A late-August Synopsis poll showed CAQ support surging seven points to tie PQ near 27–28 percent, narrowing the gap after PQ had led for months and reflecting voter response to U.S. trade tensions and CAQ leadership under Christine Fréchette. PQ retains an efficiency edge from concentrated francophone support outside Montreal, yet Liberal strength in urban ridings and ongoing shifts among other parties sustain uncertainty. Further polling and campaign events could widen or narrow the projected band before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$9,164Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling volatility and the early stage of the October 5 campaign keep PQ seat outcomes tightly contested, with projections centering near 45–50 seats amid wide ranges. A late-August Synopsis poll showed CAQ support surging seven points to tie PQ near 27–28 percent, narrowing the gap after PQ had led for months and reflecting voter response to U.S. trade tensions and CAQ leadership under Christine Fréchette. PQ retains an efficiency edge from concentrated francophone support outside Montreal, yet Liberal strength in urban ridings and ongoing shifts among other parties sustain uncertainty. Further polling and campaign events could widen or narrow the projected band before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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