Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec locked in a near tie for first place ahead of the October 5 election, with both parties drawing support primarily from francophone voters while the Quebec Liberal Party maintains its strongest base on Montreal Island but lags among francophones. This positioning leaves the PLQ as the consensus favorite to finish third in seats, though its projected totals remain sensitive to vote efficiency in key ridings and any late shifts from undecided voters or Conservative gains in the Quebec City area. Québec Solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec trail further back, facing steeper barriers to reaching third amid defensive battles and regional concentration. Trader consensus reflects these seat-projection models, where small changes in regional turnout or the ongoing CAQ-PQ momentum contest could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPLQ 56%
CAQ 24%
PCQ 11%
PQ 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
56%
CAQ
24%
PCQ
11%
PQ
7%
QS
3%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 56%
CAQ 24%
PCQ 11%
PQ 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$1,072 Обс.
56%
CAQ
$683 Обс.
24%
PCQ
$489 Обс.
11%
PQ
$924 Обс.
7%
QS
$828 Обс.
3%
PVQ
$474 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec locked in a near tie for first place ahead of the October 5 election, with both parties drawing support primarily from francophone voters while the Quebec Liberal Party maintains its strongest base on Montreal Island but lags among francophones. This positioning leaves the PLQ as the consensus favorite to finish third in seats, though its projected totals remain sensitive to vote efficiency in key ridings and any late shifts from undecided voters or Conservative gains in the Quebec City area. Québec Solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec trail further back, facing steeper barriers to reaching third amid defensive battles and regional concentration. Trader consensus reflects these seat-projection models, where small changes in regional turnout or the ongoing CAQ-PQ momentum contest could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,471Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec locked in a near tie for first place ahead of the October 5 election, with both parties drawing support primarily from francophone voters while the Quebec Liberal Party maintains its strongest base on Montreal Island but lags among francophones. This positioning leaves the PLQ as the consensus favorite to finish third in seats, though its projected totals remain sensitive to vote efficiency in key ridings and any late shifts from undecided voters or Conservative gains in the Quebec City area. Québec Solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec trail further back, facing steeper barriers to reaching third amid defensive battles and regional concentration. Trader consensus reflects these seat-projection models, where small changes in regional turnout or the ongoing CAQ-PQ momentum contest could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$4,471Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec locked in a near tie for first place ahead of the October 5 election, with both parties drawing support primarily from francophone voters while the Quebec Liberal Party maintains its strongest base on Montreal Island but lags among francophones. This positioning leaves the PLQ as the consensus favorite to finish third in seats, though its projected totals remain sensitive to vote efficiency in key ridings and any late shifts from undecided voters or Conservative gains in the Quebec City area. Québec Solidaire and the Parti Conservateur du Québec trail further back, facing steeper barriers to reaching third amid defensive battles and regional concentration. Trader consensus reflects these seat-projection models, where small changes in regional turnout or the ongoing CAQ-PQ momentum contest could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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