Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois leading overall but facing a tightening race, with the Coalition Avenir Québec surging seven points in the latest Synopsis survey to statistically tie at 27-28 percent while the Parti Libéral du Québec fell six points to 20 percent. The Liberals retain concentrated support on the Island of Montreal that could secure enough seats for official opposition status, whereas CAQ gains among francophones and older voters have narrowed the gap in other regions. Traders appear to weigh these geographic and demographic patterns, along with the October 5 election timeline and potential further volatility in undecided ridings, as the primary factors sustaining close probabilities between the PLQ and CAQ for second place.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPLQ 45%
CAQ 35%
PQ 19%
QS 2.4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
45%
CAQ
35%
PQ
19%
QS
2%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 45%
CAQ 35%
PQ 19%
QS 2.4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$3,026 Обс.
45%
CAQ
$1,752 Обс.
35%
PQ
$1,113 Обс.
19%
QS
$978 Обс.
2%
PCQ
$553 Обс.
1%
PVQ
$829 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois leading overall but facing a tightening race, with the Coalition Avenir Québec surging seven points in the latest Synopsis survey to statistically tie at 27-28 percent while the Parti Libéral du Québec fell six points to 20 percent. The Liberals retain concentrated support on the Island of Montreal that could secure enough seats for official opposition status, whereas CAQ gains among francophones and older voters have narrowed the gap in other regions. Traders appear to weigh these geographic and demographic patterns, along with the October 5 election timeline and potential further volatility in undecided ridings, as the primary factors sustaining close probabilities between the PLQ and CAQ for second place.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,251Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois leading overall but facing a tightening race, with the Coalition Avenir Québec surging seven points in the latest Synopsis survey to statistically tie at 27-28 percent while the Parti Libéral du Québec fell six points to 20 percent. The Liberals retain concentrated support on the Island of Montreal that could secure enough seats for official opposition status, whereas CAQ gains among francophones and older voters have narrowed the gap in other regions. Traders appear to weigh these geographic and demographic patterns, along with the October 5 election timeline and potential further volatility in undecided ridings, as the primary factors sustaining close probabilities between the PLQ and CAQ for second place.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$8,251Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois leading overall but facing a tightening race, with the Coalition Avenir Québec surging seven points in the latest Synopsis survey to statistically tie at 27-28 percent while the Parti Libéral du Québec fell six points to 20 percent. The Liberals retain concentrated support on the Island of Montreal that could secure enough seats for official opposition status, whereas CAQ gains among francophones and older voters have narrowed the gap in other regions. Traders appear to weigh these geographic and demographic patterns, along with the October 5 election timeline and potential further volatility in undecided ridings, as the primary factors sustaining close probabilities between the PLQ and CAQ for second place.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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